Fairfield
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 84.6854Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 13- 6 211 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 6-10 214 H Boston University Patriot ( 8-10, 84.5) 9- 5 221 A Hofstra Colonial (10- 7, 84.6) 9- 8 228 H Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 10- 9 304 A Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 8-15 308 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 9-15 311 A Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 10- 2 321 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 11- 7 325 A Sacred Heart Metro Atlan ( 5-10, 74.8) 8- 7 328 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 12- 9 401 A Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 18- 9 404 H Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 18- 5 408 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 12- 4 411 A Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 17-13 418 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 17- 7 501 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 13- 9 503 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 13- 4 508 N Army Patriot (15- 5, 91.5) 8-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Rhode Island 13- 6 7 8 -0.60
211 H Connecticut 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.74
214 H Boston University 9- 5 4 2 + 2.49
221 A Hofstra 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.24
228 H Drexel 10- 9 1 3 -1.80
304 A Army 8-15 -7 -8 1.14
308 H Denver 9-15 -6 -8 1.73
311 A Vermont 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.92
321 H Siena 11- 7 4 4 -0.17
325 A Sacred Heart 8- 7 1 9 --- -7.55
328 H Canisius 12- 9 3 5 -1.91
401 A Rider 18- 9 9 11 - -2.06
404 H Manhattan 18- 5 13 14 -1.00
408 H Mount St Marys 12- 4 8 4 + 3.59
411 A Quinnipiac 17-13 4 3 1.24
418 H Marist 17- 7 10 9 1.43
501 H Quinnipiac 13- 9 4 5 -1.49
503 H Siena 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.83
508 N Army 8-20 -12 -7 -- -5.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Sacred Heart 8- 7 1 9 --- -7.55 211 H Connecticut 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.74 508 N Army 8-20 -12 -7 -- -5.23 401 A Rider 18- 9 9 11 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Vermont 10- 2 8 0 +++ 7.92 503 H Siena 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.83 214 H Boston University 9- 5 4 2 + 2.49 221 A Hofstra 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.24 408 H Mount St Marys 12- 4 8 4 + 3.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 13- 6 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 0.91 31.65
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 6-10 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 0.91 -7.28
3 H Boston Univers ( 8-10, 84.5) 9- 5 -15.36 24.81 -1.37 0.91 42.75
3 A Hofstra (10- 7, 84.6) 9- 8 -15.34 24.83 1.37 0.91 47.77
3 H Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 10- 9 -16.65 23.52 -1.37 0.91 40.39
3 A Army (15- 5, 91.5) 8-15 -8.45 31.72 1.37 0.91 -3.23
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 9-15 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 0.91 -3.41
3 A Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 10- 2 -16.66 23.51 1.37 0.91 45.36
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 11- 7 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 0.91 37.91
3 A Sacred Heart ( 5-10, 74.8) 8- 7 -25.13 15.04 1.37 0.91 29.92
3 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 12- 9 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 0.91 36.56
3 A Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 18- 9 -27.64 12.52 1.37 0.91 25.33
3 H Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 18- 5 -27.91 12.26 -1.37 0.91 19.85
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 12- 4 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 0.91 37.46
3 A Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 17-13 -19.34 20.83 1.37 0.91 40.47
3 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 17- 7 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 0.91 29.88
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 13- 9 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 0.91 35.48
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 13- 4 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 0.91 37.91
3 N Army (15- 5, 91.5) 8-20 -8.45 31.72 -0.00 0.91 -3.85
------
520.91
|
winning pts = 538.6768 losing points = -17.7642
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------